Patriots vs. Bills odds, picks, spread, how to watch, live stream: Model makes NFL Wild Card game prediction

New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones had the highest rookie passer rating among players who threw more than 150 times this season. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have held opponents to the lowest passer rating this year and will try to keep Jones’ impact to a minimum when the Patriots visit Buffalo on Saturday. It’s the second game of the NFL Wild Card Weekend 2022 schedule and features two bitter division-rivals. You can stream the game on Paramount+.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. Caesars Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Patriots odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44. Saturday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Patriots vs. Bills

  • Bills vs. Patriots date: Saturday, Jan. 15
  • Bills vs. Patriots time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • Bills vs. Patriots TV channel: CBS 
  • Bills vs. Patriots live stream: Paramount+

AFC Wild Card picks for Patriots vs. Bills

Before you tune in to Saturday’s Bills vs. Patriots game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Patriots vs. Bills, the model is backing Buffalo to cover the spread. Jones only threw three passes in the first meeting between the two teams this season, but when they played again in Week 16, he completed just 43.75 percent of his attempts in a 33-21 loss. The Bills picked off Jones twice and he finished with just 145 passing yards and no touchdowns.

Josh Allen’s numbers haven’t been overly impressive over his last four starts, but he’s been effective enough to lead Buffalo to wins in each of those games. During that stretch, he completed just 55.2 percent of his passes, but threw for 883 yards and eight touchdowns in addition to 232 rushing yards and two scores.

The Patriots’ only win in their last four games came against Jacksonville. Outside of that game, Jones has completed just 56 percent of his passes for three touchdowns and five picks. SportsLine’s model predicts that Allen will finish with 273 total yards and at least two total touchdowns as the Bills cover in just over 50 percent of simulations.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more

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