Packers vs. Bears prediction, odds, line, spread: NFL picks, Week 13 best bets from proven computer model


The NFL Week 13 schedule features a matchup between two of the league’s oldest rivals when Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears (3-7) host Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers (4-8) on Sunday at Soldier Field. Rodgers (ribs) and Fields (shoulder) were both questionable to play early in the week, but both are expected to play on Sunday. The Packers are looking to keep their playoff hopes alive after losing to the Philadelphia Eagles 40-33 in Week 12, while the Bears are looking to bounce back from a 31-10 loss to the New York Jets and snap a five-game losing streak. The Packers lead the all-time series 104-95-6. 

Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field. Green Bay is favored by 4 points in the latest Bears vs. Packers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 45. Before entering any Packers vs. Bears picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Packers and just locked in his picks and NFL Week 13 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Packers:

  • Bears vs. Packers spread: Packers -4
  • Bears vs. Packers over/under: 45 points
  • Bears vs. Packers money line: Chicago +162, Green Bay -195
  • Bears vs. Packers picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

What you need to know about the Bears

The Bears lost 31-10 against the New York Jets this past Sunday. The fourth was a mere formality since it was already 31-10 by the end of the third quarter. No one had a standout game offensively for Chicago, but they got one touchdown from WR Byron Pringle. QB Trevor Siemian ended up with a quarterback rating of 75.3.

Fields is expected to return to action for Chicago after missing last week with a shoulder injury. The Bears are riding a five-game losing streak, but have been one of the more exciting offensive teams in the league since changing their offensive system to better fit Fields’ skillset. The Bears are just 3-22 in their last 25 matchups with the Packers.

What you need to know about the Packers

After some doubts early in the week, it has been confirmed that Rodgers will be under center for the Packers on Sunday. This is great news for Green Bay, as the two-time reigning NFL MVP has owned the Bears in recent years. In his career against Chicago, Rodgers owns a quarterback rating of 109.9 with 63 touchdown passes and only 10 interceptions.

Rookie wide receiver Christian Watson has emerged as a legitimate threat on the outside for Green Bay. In his last three games, the second round pick out of North Dakota State has caught 12 passes for 265 yards and six touchdowns. The Packers will be without All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari, who underwent an emergency appendectomy on Friday. 

How to make Bears vs. Packers picks

The model has simulated Bears vs. Packers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Packers vs. Bears? And which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Bears vs. Packers spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 155-110 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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